mike_mealprep said:

It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.

True, with the qualification that this is a self-selected group. The people for whom it did not work post less, and that shapes everything we think we know.

Correct me if the detail matters more than I have assumed.

Closing the loop on my own question.

Update: two thirds of the target before midday. Same total, same appetite, and I am hitting it most days now.

Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion. Almost every disagreement here turns out to be two people measuring different things and comparing the numbers anyway.

PeptideChemSF said:

Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.

This matches mine closely enough to be worth saying so out loud.

PeptideChemSF said:

Start from the measurement rather than the conclusion.

Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. Take it one variable at a time. Almost every unanswerable question in these threads is unanswerable because three things changed in the same fortnight, and no amount of subsequent argument can untangle them after the fact.