Clinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice. The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions. Agreeing that something happens says nothing about whether it happens enough to act on.
DataDave said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
Agreed on the substance. I would put less weight on the timescale, because two months of anything is not enough to distinguish a trend from a wobble.
DataDave said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
That reframing is the part I needed. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.
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Shop Reference StandardsClinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice. Most of what circulates confidently in this community traces back to one summary of one study, and the qualifier was dropped somewhere in the third retelling.
Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Carry on.