Dr.NateNeph said:The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the…
That is right for the common case. Whether it is right for the case being asked about depends on a detail that has not been given.
Dr.NateNeph said:The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the…
Saving this. It is the first explanation that did not require me to already understand it.
Adding the clinical framing, because it changes how the question reads. There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
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View Resultspaige_pharma said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
Same experience, arrived at from the opposite direction.
paige_pharma said:There is a difference between no evidence and evidence of no effect, and this subject is one where the two get swapped freely in both directions.
Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. The distinction that resolves most of these threads is between what is true on average and what is true for one person. Both are real; they answer different questions and get quoted as if they were the same one.