From the other side of the consultation, briefly. It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any. If nothing would, the discussion is not about evidence, and it is better to say so early than to spend nine posts discovering it.
A narrower follow-up, since the general answer is now clear:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
chris_chi24 said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. The counter-case has not been addressed. Somebody upthread described the situation that does not fit, and the thread moved on rather than engaging with it, which is the failure mode this board is supposed to avoid.
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Shop Reference Standardschris_chi24 said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals. A population claim and a personal prediction are different things and get quoted interchangeably.