Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath. An edited-away mistake is invisible to the next person who makes it.
Following on from NurseAsh_DET — and this may be the naive question:
How would you tell the difference between that and the alternative explanation?
Dr.PathRoch said:Keep the original post as written when you update it, and add the correction underneath.
There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions. Agreeing that something happens says nothing about whether it happens enough to act on.
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View ResultsOP back with an update, since a thread like this is useless without one.
Closing this out. What actually changed my mind was the point about waiting for a trend instead of reading a single measurement, which is embarrassing in hindsight and worth saying anyway.
Dr.ReproEndo said:The mechanism and the magnitude are separate questions.
Agreed, and the size of the effect matters as much as its existence. Something real and small gets treated here as though it were real and decisive.