BrianDallas92 said:

Update: the thing I was blaming turned out not to be the cause.

This matches mine closely enough to be worth saying so out loud.

BrianDallas92 said:

Update: the thing I was blaming turned out not to be the cause.

There is a second half to this that has not been said yet. It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false. If nothing would look different, it is not a claim about the world and no amount of discussion will settle it.

One concrete data point for the thread. One habit that pays for itself: post the method alongside the number. A figure without its method cannot be checked, and an unchecked figure is how this community accumulates folklore.

Happy to go further on any of that.

One thing that is still open after BrianDallas92’s answer:

Was that from a primary source or from a summary of one?

FDA_TrackerJim said:

One habit that pays for itself: post the method alongside the number.

Worth saying that the confident version of this is more useful to the person writing it than to the person reading it.