One concrete data point for the thread. The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the same conditions. Nobody wants that answer and it is still the answer.
Following on from roxy_nash — and this may be the naive question:
What did you change at the same time, and can you separate the two now?
Dr.RaviCardio said:The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the…
Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either. Those three things can all be true at once, and most arguments here are two people holding different parts of that.
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Rolling average over five weeks showed I had lost 1.6kg during my "plateau". The scale was noise and the tape had moved. I changed nothing and it resumed.
anders_CPH said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.