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ForumsSemaglutide (Ozempic / Wegovy)Semaglutide cardiovascular benefit: SELECT trial deep dive Page 3

Semaglutide cardiovascular benefit: SELECT trial deep dive

Dr.CardioMD Sun, May 31, 2026 at 8:37 PM 21 replies 414 viewsPage 3 of 5
mia_MS2
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Jun 1, 2026 at 4:13 AM#11
Dr.EndoIndy said:
The mechanism that matters here is not stomach emptying, it is central.

Genuinely useful, thank you. I had the facts and not the framework. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.

14 12ricardo_MIA, BrianDallas92, labquiet_amy and 11 others
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Dr.SurgeonPGH
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Jun 1, 2026 at 10:32 AM#12

Clinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice.

SUSTAIN-6 was the first CVOT to show cardiovascular benefit with semaglutide, relevant to cardiovascular risk. In 3,297 T2DM patients with high CV risk: MACE HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.95, p=0.02)[1].

Notable: the retinopathy signal in SUSTAIN-6 (HR 1.76) was subsequently attributed to rapid A1C reduction in patients with pre-existing retinopathy — not a direct drug effect. This has been confirmed in longer-term follow-up studies.

References:
[1] Marso SP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834-1844.
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Dr.GutHealth
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Jun 1, 2026 at 4:51 PM#13
GenomicsKate said:
The dose-response is real but shallow at the top.

I will push back on the "any working dose is fine" framing. The maintenance evidence sits overwhelmingly at the top studied dose, and the extension data shows regain tracking dose reduction rather than tracking stopping. Holding low is reasonable; pretending it is evidentially equivalent is not.

16 14jennifer_SEA, tyler_CSCS, VanRx_Mike and 13 others
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BiostatsBrad
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Jun 1, 2026 at 11:10 PM#14
Dr.CardioMD said:
SELECT is the trial that changed the framing of this class, because it was an outcome trial rather than a weight trial: about a 20% relative reduction…

NNT calculation for cardiovascular risk clinical endpoints: NNT = 1/ARR (absolute risk reduction).

From SELECT trial: MACE at 39 months — 6.5% semaglutide vs 8.0% placebo. ARR = 1.5%. NNT = 67 over 3.3 years.

Compare to established therapies:

InterventionNNTTimeframe
Semaglutide (MACE)673.3 years
Statins primary prevention (MI)~1005 years
Aspirin secondary prevention~772 years

These NNTs are clinically meaningful and comparable to accepted cardiovascular interventions.

Last edited: Jun 2, 2026 at 12:10 AM
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mike_mod
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Jun 2, 2026 at 5:30 AM#15

Moderator note: a post naming a supplier has been edited. Discuss suppliers in the review sections, not here. Tagging this one for the weekly digest.

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