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ForumsPublic SquareSELECT trial 4-year follow-up data released — sustained MACE reduction Page 2

SELECT trial 4-year follow-up data released — sustained MACE reduction

Dr.CardioMD Mon, Jun 8, 2026 at 11:48 AM 16 replies 240 viewsPage 2 of 4
stefan_berlin
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Jun 8, 2026 at 1:27 PM#6

Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. A quick sanity check on any figure quoted here: is it mean or median, is it intention-to-treat or completers, and what was the comparator. Three questions, and they resolve most disagreements in these threads.

Worth separating that from the trial evidence, which this thread keeps folding into the same question. They behave differently and the advice does not transfer.

I would rather be corrected than agreed with, if it comes to it.

44 14NeuroNate, JessicaH_TX, KevinCompounds and 41 others
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marcus_mpls
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Jun 8, 2026 at 2:05 PM#7

One thing that is still open after VendorMark’s answer:

How to read a result like this without either dismissing it or over-reading it, since the summaries all read like press releases?

Last edited: Jun 8, 2026 at 7:05 PM
43 13oliver_london, tane_welly, Dr.PathRoch and 40 others
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sarah_TO
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Jun 8, 2026 at 2:44 PM#8
stefan_berlin said:
A quick sanity check on any figure quoted here: is it mean or median, is it intention-to-treat or completers, and what was the comparator.

Adding the part of the answer the thread has not reached. Relative and absolute effects need reading together. A 20% relative reduction on a high baseline risk is a large absolute benefit; the same relative figure on a low baseline risk is a small one, and press summaries almost always quote the relative number because it is bigger.

42 12GraceAZ_72, carl_compliance, DanielChem_CHI and 39 others
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Dr.CardioMD
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Jun 8, 2026 at 3:23 PM#9

Reporting back.

Follow-up: I read the paper rather than the summary and the qualifier I was missing was in the second paragraph of the results.

41 11roxy_nash, tony_orlando, Dr.NephBHM_UK and 38 others
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KristenIndy
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Jun 8, 2026 at 6:30 PM#10
sarah_TO said:
Relative and absolute effects need reading together.

SUSTAIN-6 was the first CVOT to show cardiovascular benefit with semaglutide, relevant to cardiovascular risk. In 3,297 T2DM patients with high CV risk: MACE HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.95, p=0.02)[1].

Notable: the retinopathy signal in SUSTAIN-6 (HR 1.76) was subsequently attributed to rapid A1C reduction in patients with pre-existing retinopathy — not a direct drug effect. This has been confirmed in longer-term follow-up studies.

References:
[1] Marso SP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834-1844.
45 20kate.chem, DataDave, Dr.GutHealth and 42 others
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