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ForumsCardiovascular OutcomesSELECT cost-effectiveness — looking for input Page 7

SELECT cost-effectiveness — looking for input

claudia_zurich Tue, Nov 11, 2025 at 1:22 PM 36 replies 1,506 viewsPage 7 of 8
sophie_paris
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Paris, FR
Dec 16, 2025 at 1:53 AM#31
Dr.RenalNash said:
Dizziness and cardiovascular risk: I was lightheaded for the first 3 weeks.

SUSTAIN-6 was the first CVOT to show cardiovascular benefit with semaglutide, relevant to cardiovascular risk. In 3,297 T2DM patients with high CV risk: MACE HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.58-0.95, p=0.02)[1].

Notable: the retinopathy signal in SUSTAIN-6 (HR 1.76) was subsequently attributed to rapid A1C reduction in patients with pre-existing retinopathy — not a direct drug effect. This has been confirmed in longer-term follow-up studies.

References:
[1] Marso SP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834-1844.
13 13SallyK_inj, CryptoCarl, MariaRD and 10 others
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SleepDoc_PDX
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Sep 2024
Portland, OR
Dec 18, 2025 at 8:02 AM#32
Dr.RenalNash said:
Dizziness and cardiovascular risk: I was lightheaded for the first 3 weeks.

I want to bring up the cardiovascular angle on cardiovascular risk.

The SELECT trial demonstrated a 20% reduction in MACE with semaglutide 2.4mg[1]. This is practice-changing because the CV benefit appears to be independent of the degree of weight loss — suggesting direct vascular and anti-inflammatory mechanisms.

For cardiovascular risk, this means we need to think beyond the primary outcome and consider the cardiovascular implications. The all-cause mortality reduction (HR 0.81) is the most clinically meaningful signal.

References:
[1] Lincoff AM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2023;389(24):2221-2232.
Last edited: Dec 18, 2025 at 11:02 AM
12 12hank_denver, carlos_SATX, sophie_paris and 9 others
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zoe_NC
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Nov 2024
Charlotte, NC
Dec 20, 2025 at 2:12 PM#33

One thing that is still open after Dr.RenalNash’s answer:

What did you change at the same time, and can you separate the two now?

Last edited: Dec 20, 2025 at 3:12 PM
11 11james_edin, FranDenver, Dr.BariatricHTX and 8 others
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dan_philly
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Dec 22, 2025 at 8:23 PM#34
SleepDoc_PDX said:
I want to bring up the cardiovascular angle on cardiovascular risk.
SleepDoc_PDX said:
...we're creating a generation dependent on cardiovascular risk...

I understand the concern, but consider this analogy: are we "creating a generation dependent on" blood pressure medication? Cholesterol medication? Thyroid medication?

Obesity is a chronic disease with biological drivers. Treating it with medication is no different from treating any other chronic condition. The "dependency" framing implies weakness or moral failure — neither of which is accurate.

If ongoing medication is what keeps someone healthy, that's successful treatment, not dependency.

Last edited: Dec 22, 2025 at 11:23 PM
10 10Dr.CardioMD, EndoResFellow, PharmacoVig_BOS and 7 others
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julia.endo
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Feb 2024
Cincinnati, OH
Dec 25, 2025 at 2:35 AM#35
SleepDoc_PDX said:
I want to bring up the cardiovascular angle on cardiovascular risk.

NNT calculation for cardiovascular risk clinical endpoints: NNT = 1/ARR (absolute risk reduction).

From SELECT trial: MACE at 39 months — 6.5% semaglutide vs 8.0% placebo. ARR = 1.5%. NNT = 67 over 3.3 years.

Compare to established therapies:

InterventionNNTTimeframe
Semaglutide (MACE)673.3 years
Statins primary prevention (MI)~1005 years
Aspirin secondary prevention~772 years

These NNTs are clinically meaningful and comparable to accepted cardiovascular interventions.

9 9chris_chi24, tampaLisa73, KarenAZ_mom and 6 others
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